[Bradford] Keeping track of covid19

[Alice .]

Hi,

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/ is fairly accurate,
and has sources (but turn on ad-blockers).  I'm finding it particularly
useful for getting data for multiple countries for comparison purposes
(particularly Sweden), and I'm copying the data into a local spreadsheet.
I should really turn this into something more shareable like a Jupyter
notebook.

The number of cases is a poor measure for most countries, as the testing is
relatively small.  And the different amount of testing, as well as
different populations, between countries makes it hard to compare directly.

The number of deaths is a better measure, but tracks behind initial
infection by weeks.  So it's hard to see impacts of any legislation.

The number of deaths we see reported in the UK are not final numbers, but
they at least give an indication of trend.  For the final figures on
registered deaths we need to go to the ONS, which currently only has data
up until 20th March, but does now include COVID-19 specific data -
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/weeklyprovisionalfiguresondeathsregisteredinenglandandwales
(data
gets updated on a Tuesday)

These final figures then get rolled up into European-wide reporting every
Thursday lunchtime.  This again only runs up to week 12 (20th March?) and
is an all-causes mortality index rather than specific to any causes.  The
raw data doesn't seem to be available, only graphs.  What this means
however is that we can eyeball the current situation in comparison to
previous years flu epidemics.  https://www.euromomo.eu/

Hong Kong clearly has less strict privacy laws, because they are reporting
on every single case.  Unfortunately it's in PDF format, and not nice to
extract data from.
https://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/local_situation_covid19_en.pdf

But talking of privacy - MIT have produced a contact-tracing app which
keeps your data on your device unless you are infected.  This seems a much
better solution than the ones governments are creating, without the backing
of government/media it's unlikely to get enough people using it.
https://safepaths.mit.edu/

Finally, you (probably) aren't an epidemiologist - you can't just apply
data science to this without understanding a lot more about what's going on
behind the numbers.

Thanks
Alice



On Wed, 1 Apr 2020 at 16:42, shi via Bradford <bradford at mailman.lug.org.uk>
wrote:

> Hello,
>
> We are keeping track of a couple of things:
>
> International aid funding via
> http://d-portal.org/ctrack.html?text_search=covid-19#view=main
> Local UK Charities via http://grantnav.threesixtygiving.org/search
> <http://grantnav.threesixtygiving.org/search?json_query=%7B%22query%22%3A+%7B%22bool%22%3A+%7B%22must%22%3A+%7B%22query_string%22%3A+%7B%22query%22%3A+%22%5C%22covid-19%5C%22%22%2C+%22default_field%22%3A+%22%2A%22%7D%7D%2C+%22filter%22%3A+%5B%7B%22bool%22%3A+%7B%22should%22%3A+%5B%5D%7D%7D%2C+%7B%22bool%22%3A+%7B%22should%22%3A+%5B%5D%7D%7D%2C+%7B%22bool%22%3A+%7B%22should%22%3A+%5B%5D%2C+%22must%22%3A+%7B%7D%2C+%22minimum_should_match%22%3A+1%7D%7D%2C+%7B%22bool%22%3A+%7B%22should%22%3A+%7B%22range%22%3A+%7B%22amountAwarded%22%3A+%7B%7D%7D%7D%2C+%22must%22%3A+%7B%7D%2C+%22minimum_should_match%22%3A+1%7D%7D%2C+%7B%22bool%22%3A+%7B%22should%22%3A+%5B%5D%7D%7D%2C+%7B%22bool%22%3A+%7B%22should%22%3A+%5B%5D%7D%7D%2C+%7B%22bool%22%3A+%7B%22should%22%3A+%5B%5D%7D%7D%2C+%7B%22bool%22%3A+%7B%22should%22%3A+%5B%5D%7D%7D%5D%7D%7D%2C+%22sort%22%3A+%7B%22amountAwarded%22%3A+%7B%22order%22%3A+%22desc%22%7D%7D%2C+%22aggs%22%3A+%7B%22fundingOrganization%22%3A+%7B%22terms%22%3A+%7B%22field%22%3A+%22fundingOrganization.id_and_name%22%2C+%22size%22%3A+3%7D%7D%2C+%22recipientOrganization%22%3A+%7B%22terms%22%3A+%7B%22field%22%3A+%22recipientOrganization.id_and_name%22%2C+%22size%22%3A+3%7D%7D%2C+%22recipientRegionName%22%3A+%7B%22terms%22%3A+%7B%22field%22%3A+%22recipientRegionName%22%2C+%22size%22%3A+3%7D%7D%2C+%22recipientDistrictName%22%3A+%7B%22terms%22%3A+%7B%22field%22%3A+%22recipientDistrictName%22%2C+%22size%22%3A+3%7D%7D%2C+%22currency%22%3A+%7B%22terms%22%3A+%7B%22field%22%3A+%22currency%22%2C+%22size%22%3A+3%7D%7D%7D%2C+%22extra_context%22%3A+%7B%22awardYear_facet_size%22%3A+3%2C+%22amountAwardedFixed_facet_size%22%3A+3%7D%7D>
>
> --
> shi
>
>
>
> On Wed, 1 Apr 2020 at 14:36, John Robert Hudson via Bradford <
> bradford at mailman.lug.org.uk> wrote:
>
>> HI Darren
>>
>>
>>
>> Yes but I am using https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html which is really
>> fascinating.
>>
>>
>>
>> John
>>
>>
>>
>> On Wednesday, 1 April 2020 14:33:34 BST Darren Drapkin via Bradford wrote:
>>
>> > I hope you are all keeping track of the epidemic with the WHO covid19
>>
>> > situation dashboard
>>
>> >
>>
>> > (
>> https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/685d0ace521648f8a5beeeee1b9125cd
>> )
>>
>> >
>>
>> > and the WHO emergency diseases covid19 reports page
>>
>> >
>>
>> > (https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019)
>>
>> >
>>
>> > --
>>
>> > Yours &c.
>>
>> > Darren Drapkin
>>
>> >
>>
>> > --
>>
>> > Bradford mailing list
>>
>> > Bradford at mailman.lug.org.uk
>>
>> > https://mailman.lug.org.uk/mailman/listinfo/bradford
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> --
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>
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